Saturday, December 15, 2007

Behind the Curve....

In Friday's Wall Street Journal, Robert Lee Hotz, the new "Science Journal" columnist for the WSJ writes (free for a few days, but hey maybe Uncle Murdy will act on his thoughts of freeing up the online WSJ) about the Keeling Curve which may perhaps become the most iconic of graphs in the climate change debate. The Keeling Curve charts the concentration of CO2 in the atmosphere, and it is undisputedly growing as you can see below.

keeling curve

One of the scary things about this chart is how clear the data is, now I don't have the raw data, but you can extrapolate that CO2 concentration is going to increase, and even by how much. In the trade, we call that good science, you can make predictions with it. Now many on the no climate change is happening side say show me the data, well here it is.

Human success is a very strange thing, often it is our reluctance to face the facts that allow us to excel think the Wright brothers and man made flight, or that housing always goes up the subprime debacle. The trick is knowing the difference. Schopenhauer had many great quotes this seems very apt...

"All truth passes through three stages. First, it is ridiculed. Second, it is violently opposed. Third, it is accepted as being self-evident." Let's hope that we get ahead of the curve and accept it before there is no choice.

2 Comments:

At 8:17 PM , Blogger Green Bean said...

Scary stuff! With evidence like this, the truth is becomming incontrovertable. It will soon be hard to ridicule or oppose - let's hope it's not too late.

 
At 9:17 PM , Anonymous Footer said...

You can find a worksheet with this data (and more) at: http://www.ec.gc.ca/soer-ree/English/Indicators/Issues/Climate/Tech_Sup/ccsup06_e.cfm. But what is even a bit more disturbing is the picture you get when you pair up the data with the historical data from over 400,000 years from the Vostok ice cores http://cdiac.ornl.gov/trends/co2/vostok.htm. More recent data confirm the 400Kyr data as far back as 600Kyr http://www.climate.unibe.ch/?L1=news: progress report 2003-2006

 

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